Pablo Varillas Juan vs Gonzalo Bueno · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cali • Clay • Oct 11, 2025 • 3:00 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Gonzalo Bueno
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Gonzalo Bueno
57% · 42–32 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~612 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~612 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.7 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pablo Varillas Juan and Gonzalo Bueno are set to meet at the Cali on October 11, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Juan enters with a 31–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bueno has posted a 42–32 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bueno, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Juan leads 3–1 over Bueno.