Jasmine Paolini vs Iga Swiatek · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuhan • Hard • Oct 10, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,683 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 61% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Iga Swiatek
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,749 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.7 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 80% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Iga Swiatek are set to meet at the Wuhan on October 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Swiatek has posted a 41–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Swiatek leads 6–1 over Paolini.