Jasmine Paolini vs Y. Yuan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wuhan • Hard • Oct 8, 2025 • 11:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,182 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,182 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Y. Yuan
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,463 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,463 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.1 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.5 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 50% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jasmine Paolini and Y. Yuan are set to meet at the Wuhan on October 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Paolini enters with a 27–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Yuan has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 4–0 over Yuan, including a win in their most recent meeting.