A. Hernandez vs Mateus Alves · Match odds & ELO prediction
Cali • Clay • Oct 6, 2025 • 5:55 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mateus Alves
Key insights
Player performance profile
A. Hernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~172 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.5 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mateus Alves
20% · 1–4 on hard
53% · 27–24 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
A. Hernandez and Mateus Alves are set to meet at the Cali on October 6, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hernandez enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2025, while Alves has posted a 27–24 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Alves, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Alves leads 2–0 over Hernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.