Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
Shanghai • Hard • Oct 6, 2025 • 11:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Learner Tien
Key insights
Player performance profile
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,895 points across 71 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,895 points across 71 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Learner Tien and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the Shanghai on October 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tien enters with a 32–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 19–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tien entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tien leads 3–1 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.