Ugo Humbert vs Holger Rune · Match odds & ELO prediction
Shanghai • Hard • Oct 5, 2025 • 4:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Holger Rune
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ugo Humbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,620 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,620 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Holger Rune
64% · 23–13 on hard
64% · 9–5 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,805 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 48% | 40% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ugo Humbert and Holger Rune are set to meet at the Shanghai on October 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Humbert enters with a 18–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rune has posted a 23–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rune, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rune leads 5–0 over Humbert, including a win in their most recent meeting.