Leo Borg vs Daniil Ostapenkov · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 • Hard • Oct 3, 2025 • 7:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniil Ostapenkov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Leo Borg
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~865 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~865 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Ostapenkov
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Leo Borg and Daniil Ostapenkov are set to meet at the M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 on October 3, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Borg enters with a 20–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ostapenkov has posted a 27–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ostapenkov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ostapenkov leads 2–0 over Borg, including a win in their most recent meeting.