Raphael Collignon vs Jelle Sels · Match odds & ELO prediction
Mouilleron-Le-Captif • Hard • Oct 1, 2025 • 3:15 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Raphael Collignon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,203 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,203 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.7 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelle Sels
58% · 22–16 on hard
54% · 21–18 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raphael Collignon and Jelle Sels are set to meet at the Mouilleron-Le-Captif on October 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Collignon enters with a 24–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Sels has posted a 22–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Collignon leads 2–0 over Sels, including a win in their most recent meeting.