Match analytics

Aleksandar Vukic vs Yoshihito Nishioka · Match odds & ELO prediction

Shanghai • Hard • Sep 30, 2025 • 10:05 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Yoshihito Nishioka

Key insights

Player performance profile

Aleksandar Vukic

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,585 points across 64 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.156% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.47% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.562% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%41% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yoshihito Nishioka

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

58%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,918 points across 27 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.135% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.613% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.468% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%74% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Aleksandar Vukic and Yoshihito Nishioka are set to meet at the Shanghai on September 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Vukic enters with a 19–24 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nishioka has posted a 24–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Vukic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Nishioka leads 3–2 over Vukic, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Vukic and Nishioka have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.