Sebastian Ofner vs Luca Nardi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Shanghai • Hard • Oct 1, 2025 • 4:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Luca Nardi
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Ofner
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,132 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca Nardi
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,018 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,018 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 44% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Ofner and Luca Nardi are set to meet at the Shanghai on October 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ofner enters with a 0–4 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nardi has posted a 22–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Nardi, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ofner leads 2–1 over Nardi.