Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 29, 2025 • 1:30 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Daniil Medvedev
Key insights
Player performance profile
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,134 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.4 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,273 points across 83 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,273 points across 83 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.0 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 68% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 81% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev are set to meet at the Beijing on September 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Medvedev enters with a 30–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Zverev has posted a 31–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Zverev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 8–2 over Zverev.