Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 30, 2025 • 3:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Coco Gauff
Key insights
Player performance profile
Belinda Bencic
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,135 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,135 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 75% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.9 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Coco Gauff
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,121 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,121 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.6 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Belinda Bencic and Coco Gauff are set to meet at the Beijing on September 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bencic enters with a 31–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Gauff has posted a 30–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gauff, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gauff leads 5–1 over Bencic, including a win in their most recent meeting.