Teodora Kostovic vs Federica Urgesi · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rende • Clay • Sep 29, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Teodora Kostovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Teodora Kostovic
55% · 6–5 on hard
44% · 4–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,002 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,002 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 29% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.5 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Federica Urgesi
56% · 9–7 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~202 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 28% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.1 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Teodora Kostovic and Federica Urgesi are set to meet at the Rende on September 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Kostovic enters with a 30–13 record on clay courts in 2025, while Urgesi has posted a 17–20 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kostovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kostovic leads 1–0 over Urgesi, including a win in their most recent meeting.