Matias Soto vs Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao · Match odds & ELO prediction
Antofagasta • Clay • Sep 30, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Key insights
Player performance profile
Matias Soto
18% · 2–9 on hard
48% · 19–21 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~0 points across 0 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | 0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
0% · 0–2 on hard
63% · 50–30 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~560 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~560 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Matias Soto and Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao are set to meet at the Antofagasta on September 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Soto enters with a 19–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Joao has posted a 50–30 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Joao, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Joao leads 3–1 over Soto, including a win in their most recent meeting.