Facundo Bagnis vs Francesco Maestrelli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Antofagasta • Clay • Sep 29, 2025 • 8:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Facundo Bagnis
Key insights
Player performance profile
Facundo Bagnis
63% · 5–3 on hard
53% · 10–9 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,597 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,597 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francesco Maestrelli
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~441 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Facundo Bagnis and Francesco Maestrelli are set to meet at the Antofagasta on September 29, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bagnis enters with a 10–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Maestrelli has posted a 28–18 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Maestrelli, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bagnis leads 2–0 over Maestrelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.