Sebastian Korda vs Taylor Fritz · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Sep 28, 2025 • 2:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Korda
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,964 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 81% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 82% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.4 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Korda and Taylor Fritz are set to meet at the Tokyo on September 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Korda enters with a 19–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fritz has posted a 36–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 3–1 over Korda, including a win in their most recent meeting.