Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Dayana Yastremska · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 27, 2025 • 3:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
27% · 3–8 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,712 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,712 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 29% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Dayana Yastremska
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,885 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,885 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 58% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.6 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Dayana Yastremska are set to meet at the Beijing on September 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maneiro enters with a 14–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Yastremska has posted a 16–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Yastremska, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Maneiro leads 2–1 over Yastremska.