Alex De Minaur vs Yunchaokete Bu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 26, 2025 • 5:15 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,816 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,816 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 33% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Yunchaokete Bu
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,393 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,393 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 26% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alex De Minaur and Yunchaokete Bu are set to meet at the Beijing on September 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Minaur enters with a 41–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bu has posted a 14–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Minaur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 3–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.