BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alex Bolt vs James Duckworth · Match odds & ELO prediction

Jingshan • Hard • Sep 24, 2025 • 8:45 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Alex Bolt

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alex Bolt

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,133 points across 13 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.153% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.731% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-3.124% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
40%23% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

James Duckworth

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

61%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,959 points across 46 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
2.072% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.224% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.528% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%41% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alex Bolt and James Duckworth are set to meet at the Jingshan on September 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bolt enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Duckworth has posted a 35–24 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bolt leads 3–1 over Duckworth, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Bolt and Duckworth have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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