Hanne Vandewinkel vs Sada Nahimana · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Lisboa • Clay • Sep 23, 2025 • 10:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Hanne Vandewinkel
Key insights
Player performance profile
Hanne Vandewinkel
81% · 21–5 on hard
33% · 2–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,874 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,874 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +13.2 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sada Nahimana
29% · 2–5 on hard
64% · 7–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
37%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~888 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~888 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.0 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Hanne Vandewinkel and Sada Nahimana are set to meet at the W100 Lisboa on September 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vandewinkel enters with a 23–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Nahimana has posted a 29–23 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Vandewinkel, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Vandewinkel leads 2–0 over Nahimana, including a win in their most recent meeting.