Katie Boulter vs Hailey Baptiste · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 24, 2025 • 8:00 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Katie Boulter
Key insights
Player performance profile
Katie Boulter
69% · 11–5 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,542 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,542 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 39% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hailey Baptiste
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,818 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,818 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 87% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 52% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Katie Boulter and Hailey Baptiste are set to meet at the Beijing on September 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Boulter enters with a 9–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Baptiste has posted a 12–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Baptiste, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Boulter leads 4–0 over Baptiste, including a win in their most recent meeting.