Cristina Bucsa vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 23, 2025 • 3:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Cristina Bucsa
Key insights
Player performance profile
Cristina Bucsa
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,606 points across 67 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,606 points across 67 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 64% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.9 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 55% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 6% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Cristina Bucsa and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the Beijing on September 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Bucsa enters with a 28–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Maria has posted a 7–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bucsa entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bucsa leads 3–0 over Maria, including a win in their most recent meeting.