Xinxin Yao vs Joanna Garland · Match odds & ELO prediction
Beijing • Hard • Sep 22, 2025 • 8:30 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Joanna Garland
Key insights
Player performance profile
Xinxin Yao
45% · 15–18 on hard
21% · 3–11 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~244 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~244 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Joanna Garland
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,912 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,912 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 74% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Xinxin Yao and Joanna Garland are set to meet at the Beijing on September 22, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Yao enters with a 15–18 record on hard courts in 2025, while Garland has posted a 28–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Garland entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Garland leads 1–0 over Yao, including a win in their most recent meeting.