Jakub Mensik vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Laver Cup • Hard • Sep 21, 2025 • 9:30 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Jakub Mensik
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,832 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 85% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,854 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 98% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Jakub Mensik and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the ATP Laver Cup on September 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mensik enters with a 24–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Minaur leads 4–0 over Mensik, including a win in their most recent meeting.


