Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodig · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lisbon • Clay • Sep 23, 2025 • 1:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Stefano Travaglia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Travaglia
58% · 7–5 on hard
62% · 32–20 on clay
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~619 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~619 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 41% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.7 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matej Dodig
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~465 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~465 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 40% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Travaglia and Matej Dodig are set to meet at the Lisbon on September 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with a 32–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Dodig has posted a 24–22 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Travaglia entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Travaglia leads 3–0 over Dodig, including a win in their most recent meeting.