Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodig · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lisbon • Clay • Sep 23, 2025 • 1:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Stefano Travaglia
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Travaglia
65% · 11–6 on hard
54% · 7–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~877 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~877 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 14% | 1% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matej Dodig
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~465 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~465 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 39% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.7 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Travaglia and Matej Dodig are set to meet at the Lisbon on September 23, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with a 32–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Dodig has posted a 24–22 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Travaglia leads 3–0 over Dodig, including a win in their most recent meeting.