Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chengdu • Hard • Sep 21, 2025 • 10:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lorenzo Musetti
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lorenzo Musetti
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,330 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 84% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.7 | 56% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 66% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,981 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,981 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lorenzo Musetti and Nikoloz Basilashvili are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Musetti enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Basilashvili has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Basilashvili entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.