Yibing Wu vs Daniil Medvedev · Match odds & ELO prediction
Hangzhou • Hard • Sep 21, 2025 • 10:25 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Yibing Wu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yibing Wu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,650 points across 18 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,650 points across 18 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.1 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniil Medvedev
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 62 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.3 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 60% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yibing Wu and Daniil Medvedev are set to meet at the Hangzhou on September 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Wu enters with a 23–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Medvedev has posted a 30–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Medvedev leads 2–1 over Wu.