Christopher O'Connell vs Alejandro Tabilo · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chengdu • Hard • Sep 21, 2025 • 5:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Alejandro Tabilo
Key insights
Player performance profile
Christopher O'Connell
33% · 1–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,417 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,417 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Tabilo
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,248 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Christopher O'Connell and Alejandro Tabilo are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 21, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. O'Connell enters with a 18–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tabilo has posted a 21–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tabilo leads 3–0 over O'Connell, including a win in their most recent meeting.