Mackenzie McDonald vs Nikoloz Basilashvili · Match odds & ELO prediction
Chengdu • Hard • Sep 20, 2025 • 5:10 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Nikoloz Basilashvili
Key insights
Player performance profile
Mackenzie McDonald
59% · 32–22 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,168 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,168 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,368 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,368 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 44% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Mackenzie McDonald and Nikoloz Basilashvili are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 20, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. McDonald enters with a 32–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Basilashvili has posted a 27–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for McDonald, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, McDonald leads 3–1 over Basilashvili.