BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction

Chengdu • Hard • Sep 19, 2025 • 5:20 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Alejandro Tabilo

Key insights

Player performance profile

Alejandro Tabilo

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,862 points across 41 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.666% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.913% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.460% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%58% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Luciano Darderi

HARD

29% · 615 on hard

CLAY

73% · 3011 on clay

GRASS

33% · 24 on grass

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,827 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.462% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.363% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.856% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%74% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Alejandro Tabilo and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the Chengdu on September 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tabilo enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Darderi has posted a 6–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Darderi entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Tabilo and Darderi have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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