Emilio Nava vs Pablo Varillas Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Villa Maria • Clay • Sep 17, 2025 • 9:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Emilio Nava
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emilio Nava
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,421 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,421 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.6 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.0 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~455 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emilio Nava and Pablo Varillas Juan are set to meet at the Villa Maria on September 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Nava enters with a 45–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Juan has posted a 31–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nava entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.