Emilio Nava vs Pablo Varillas Juan · Match odds & ELO prediction
Villa Maria • Clay • Sep 17, 2025 • 9:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Emilio Nava
Key insights
Player performance profile
Emilio Nava
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,498 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,498 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.3 | 87% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Varillas Juan
0% · 0–1 on hard
62% · 31–19 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~347 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~347 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 90% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Emilio Nava and Pablo Varillas Juan are set to meet at the Villa Maria on September 17, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Nava enters with a 45–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Juan has posted a 31–19 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Nava entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.