BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Katerina Siniakova vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Seoul • Hard • Sep 18, 2025 • 9:20 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Katerina Siniakova

Key insights

Player performance profile

Katerina Siniakova

HARD

50% · 77 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

75% · 31 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,283 points across 59 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.660% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.284% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+3.574% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
73%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Daria Kasatkina

HARD

44% · 45 on hard

CLAY

71% · 52 on clay

Games won (last 10)

55%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,499 points across 51 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.27% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.196% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.652% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
52%53% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Katerina Siniakova and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Seoul on September 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Siniakova enters with a 27–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kasatkina has posted a 12–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Siniakova and Kasatkina alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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