Ayla Aksu vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Caldas da Rainha • Hard • Sep 15, 2025 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ayla Aksu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ayla Aksu
70% · 14–6 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~102 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~102 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
33% · 7–14 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~162 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~162 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ayla Aksu and Ekaterina Ovcharenko are set to meet at the Caldas da Rainha on September 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Aksu enters with a 9–14 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ovcharenko has posted a 7–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Aksu entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Aksu leads 2–0 over Ovcharenko, including a win in their most recent meeting.