Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Mikhail Kukushkin · Match odds & ELO prediction
St. Tropez • Hard • Sep 16, 2025 • 11:40 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mikhail Kukushkin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,616 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,616 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 73% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mikhail Kukushkin
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.3 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Mikhail Kukushkin are set to meet at the St. Tropez on September 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Herbert enters with a 16–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kukushkin has posted a 20–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kukushkin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Herbert leads 2–1 over Kukushkin.