Tamara Korpatsch vs Arantxa Rus · Match odds & ELO prediction
San Sebastian • Clay • Sep 11, 2025 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Tamara Korpatsch
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tamara Korpatsch
54% · 7–6 on hard
69% · 11–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,633 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,633 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arantxa Rus
44% · 4–5 on hard
14% · 1–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,292 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,292 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 25% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tamara Korpatsch and Arantxa Rus are set to meet at the San Sebastian on September 11, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Korpatsch enters with a 22–12 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rus has posted a 28–20 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Korpatsch entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Korpatsch leads 4–1 over Rus, including a win in their most recent meeting.