Tamara Korpatsch vs Arantxa Rus · Match odds & ELO prediction
San Sebastian • Clay • Sep 11, 2025 • 3:20 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Tamara Korpatsch
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tamara Korpatsch
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,777 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,777 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -14.5 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 14% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arantxa Rus
44% · 12–15 on hard
58% · 28–20 on clay
0% · 0–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,169 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.7 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 11% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tamara Korpatsch and Arantxa Rus are set to meet at the San Sebastian on September 11, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Korpatsch enters with a 22–12 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rus has posted a 28–20 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Korpatsch, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Korpatsch leads 4–1 over Rus, including a win in their most recent meeting.