Julia Riera vs Alexandra Eala · Match odds & ELO prediction
Sao Paulo • Hard • Sep 10, 2025 • 10:00 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexandra Eala
Key insights
Player performance profile
Julia Riera
44% · 4–5 on hard
51% · 19–18 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,393 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,393 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.8 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexandra Eala
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,140 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,140 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.4 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Julia Riera and Alexandra Eala are set to meet at the Sao Paulo on September 10, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Riera enters with a 4–5 record on hard courts in 2025, while Eala has posted a 28–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Eala, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Eala leads 2–1 over Riera, including a win in their most recent meeting.