Arina Rodionova vs Martina Okalova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Sao Paulo • Hard • Sep 8, 2025 • 6:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Martina Okalova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Arina Rodionova
56% · 20–16 on hard
44% · 7–9 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,366 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Martina Okalova
50% · 6–6 on hard
41% · 7–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~380 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.8 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Arina Rodionova and Martina Okalova are set to meet at the Sao Paulo on September 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Rodionova enters with a 20–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Okalova has posted a 6–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Okalova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rodionova leads 2–1 over Okalova.