Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 6, 2025 • 8:20 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Aryna Sabalenka
Key insights
Player performance profile
Aryna Sabalenka
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,073 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,073 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.3 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.9 | 95% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Amanda Anisimova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,358 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,358 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 30% | 15% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova are set to meet at the US Open on September 6, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sabalenka enters with a 39–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Anisimova has posted a 27–10 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Anisimova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sabalenka leads 5–4 over Anisimova, including a win in their most recent meeting.