Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 5, 2025 • 2:00 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Amanda Anisimova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Naomi Osaka
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,558 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,558 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Amanda Anisimova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,043 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,043 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.1 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Naomi Osaka and Amanda Anisimova are set to meet at the US Open on September 5, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Osaka enters with a 24–9 record on hard courts in 2025, while Anisimova has posted a 27–10 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Anisimova leads 4–0 over Osaka, including a win in their most recent meeting.