Lourdes Carle Maria vs Y. Yang · Match odds & ELO prediction
Changsha • Clay • Sep 3, 2025 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Lourdes Carle Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,688 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.0 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 5% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Y. Yang
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~175 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~175 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Lourdes Carle Maria and Y. Yang are set to meet at the Changsha on September 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Maria enters with a 26–21 record on clay courts in 2025, while Yang has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Yang entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 2–0 over Yang, including a win in their most recent meeting.