Ilinca Burcescu Maia vs Kristina Penickova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 1, 2025 • 6:35 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Kristina Penickova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ilinca Burcescu Maia
40% · 2–3 on hard
65% · 13–7 on clay
67% · 2–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
54%
9 matches tracked
Kristina Penickova
61% · 17–11 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~106 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~106 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ilinca Burcescu Maia and Kristina Penickova are set to meet at the US Open on September 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Maia enters with a 2–3 record on hard courts in 2025, while Penickova has posted a 17–11 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Penickova leads 1–0 over Maia, including a win in their most recent meeting.