Nuria Brancaccio vs Darya Astakhova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montreux • Clay • Sep 2, 2025 • 11:45 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Darya Astakhova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Nuria Brancaccio
29% · 2–5 on hard
66% · 31–16 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,578 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,578 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Darya Astakhova
75% · 3–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~352 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~352 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Nuria Brancaccio and Darya Astakhova are set to meet at the Montreux on September 2, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Brancaccio enters with a 31–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Astakhova has posted a 12–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Brancaccio, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Astakhova leads 2–0 over Brancaccio, including a win in their most recent meeting.