Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Sep 1, 2025 • 3:45 PM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,345 points across 88 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,345 points across 88 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.9 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Andrey Rublev
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,305 points across 76 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.7 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 32% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the US Open on September 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Auger-Aliassime enters with a 43–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rublev has posted a 22–17 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Auger-Aliassime entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 6–2 over Auger-Aliassime.