August Holmgren vs Agustin Tirante Thiago · Match odds & ELO prediction
Genova • Clay • Sep 1, 2025 • 12:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Agustin Tirante Thiago
Key insights
Player performance profile
August Holmgren
50% · 15–15 on hard
27% · 3–8 on clay
71% · 5–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,948 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.4 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Agustin Tirante Thiago
100% · 1–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,554 points across 31 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,554 points across 31 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.5 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 0% | 0% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
August Holmgren and Agustin Tirante Thiago are set to meet at the Genova on September 1, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Holmgren enters with a 3–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Thiago has posted a 35–22 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Thiago entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Thiago leads 3–0 over Holmgren, including a win in their most recent meeting.