BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Sho Shimabukuro vs Yasutaka Uchiyama · Match odds & ELO prediction

Zhangjiagang • Hard • Aug 30, 2025 • 7:40 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Sho Shimabukuro

Key insights

Player performance profile

Sho Shimabukuro

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

49%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.971% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.578% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.570% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
67%90% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yasutaka Uchiyama

HARD

58% · 118 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,012 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.914% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.011% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-7.44% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Sho Shimabukuro and Yasutaka Uchiyama are set to meet at the Zhangjiagang on August 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shimabukuro enters with a 31–20 record on hard courts in 2025, while Uchiyama has posted a 20–24 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shimabukuro entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Shimabukuro and Uchiyama alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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