Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 30, 2025 • 11:15 PM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Felix Auger-Aliassime
Key insights
Player performance profile
Alexander Zverev
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,977 points across 93 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.8 | 95% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.1 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 85% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.2 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.3 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 70% | 92% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Alexander Zverev and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the US Open on August 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zverev enters with a 31–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Auger-Aliassime has posted a 43–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zverev entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 5 wins.