Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemund · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 30, 2025 • 9:00 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Ekaterina Alexandrova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~11,345 points across 80 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 91% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Laura Siegemund
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,402 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,402 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 42% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.6 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Laura Siegemund are set to meet at the US Open on August 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Alexandrova enters with a 26–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Siegemund has posted a 15–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Siegemund entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Alexandrova leads 2–1 over Siegemund, including a win in their most recent meeting.