Novak Djokovic vs Cameron Norrie · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 29, 2025 • 11:20 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Novak Djokovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Novak Djokovic
78% · 25–7 on hard
75% · 9–3 on clay
83% · 5–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,355 points across 50 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,355 points across 50 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.2 | 98% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 57% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cameron Norrie
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,798 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 45% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.0 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Novak Djokovic and Cameron Norrie are set to meet at the US Open on August 29, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Djokovic enters with a 25–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Norrie has posted a 19–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Djokovic entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Djokovic leads 7–0 over Norrie, including a win in their most recent meeting.