Magdalena Frech vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 5:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Magdalena Frech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magdalena Frech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,982 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,982 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 45% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Peyton Stearns
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,615 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,615 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 28% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magdalena Frech and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Frech enters with a 8–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Frech entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stearns leads 3–1 over Frech, including a win in their most recent meeting.