Magdalena Frech vs Peyton Stearns · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 5:15 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Magdalena Frech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Magdalena Frech
53% · 10–9 on hard
0% · 0–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,756 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,756 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.8 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Peyton Stearns
58% · 11–8 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,460 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,460 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 49% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 37% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Magdalena Frech and Peyton Stearns are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Frech enters with a 8–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Stearns has posted a 10–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Frech entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Stearns leads 3–1 over Frech, including a win in their most recent meeting.