Match analytics

Karen Khachanov vs Kamil Majchrzak · Match odds & ELO prediction

US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 4:35 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 3

Winner Kamil Majchrzak

Key insights

Player performance profile

Karen Khachanov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~9,656 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.983% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.773% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-2.331% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%33% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Kamil Majchrzak

HARD

60% · 32 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,182 points across 45 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.972% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
-0.179% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.941% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
48%41% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Karen Khachanov and Kamil Majchrzak are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Khachanov enters with a 15–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Majchrzak has posted a 23–12 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Majchrzak, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Khachanov leads 2–1 over Majchrzak.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Khachanov and Majchrzak have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.